Case study · Hollis Supply

Hollis Supply, before the pilot

One distributor, three feeds that disagree, and a forecasting pilot that waits until its data passes an agreed gate.

A racked aisle in a Hollis Supply warehouse at dusk.
Status: repair in progress, pilot not started

Case file

Readiness assessment
Warehouses
3
Active SKUs
12,000
Records sampled
500
Issue rate
8%

40 of 500 records had a missing or conflicting SKU identifier.

Three warehouses, one weekly forecast

Hollis Supply sells industrial fasteners to trade customers. Operations wanted a demand forecast it could trust before buying stock.

Use case
Weekly demand forecasting for replenishment
Decision owner
Marta Lindqvist, Head of Operations

The forecast reads three feeds

  • WMSStock on hand and bin locations Dana Whitlock · Warehouse ops
  • ERPItem master and sales orders Marcus Okafor · Planning
  • Supplier EDIAdvance ship notices from suppliers Owner: unassigned
A picker reaching into small-parts bins in a Hollis Supply aisle.
HS-20417Hex bolt M8 × 40

What 500 records showed

We sampled 500 records across the three feeds. 40 had a missing or conflicting SKU identifier.

40of 500

Records the pilot cannot use

Each amber dot is a sampled record with a missing or conflicting SKU identifier: an 8% issue rate.

  • Conflicting 26
  • Missing 14
  • Clean 460

Most flaws arrive by EDI

24 of the 40 flagged records came in on supplier advance ship notices.

A washer with no code

Its supplier notice arrives without an item code, so the receipt never matches.

One box, three spellings

Suppliers code the same box of 100 three ways, so a box can be booked as one unit.

Repair before any pilot

At 8%, the sample is eight times over the gate. The pilot waits.

What is repaired, what is still open

Repair runs in priority order. Two gaps remain, and the gate stays shut until each one has an owner.

  • Status: repair in progress
  • Pilot: not started
  • Next: re-sample after the EDI mapping

Repaired

3 items
  1. 01

    WMS and ERP share one item key

    Both feeds now map to the ERP item master, so HS-20417 is one item, not two.

    Marcus Okafor, Planning
  2. 02

    Two feeds have a named owner

    Dana Whitlock signed for the WMS and Marcus Okafor for the item master in the feed ownership register.

    Feed ownership register
  3. 03

    The issue rate is measured every week

    The same 500-record sample runs each Monday, so progress is counted, not guessed.

    Readiness report

Still open

2 gaps
  1. 01

    Supplier EDI pack-size codes

    PK100, BX/100 and 100 EA still arrive for one box. The mapping table needs a Purchasing owner to sign it.

    Blocks the gate
  2. 02

    Nobody owns the returns data

    Each warehouse logs returns in its own spreadsheet. Unowned, returned stock distorts weekly demand.

    Owner: unassigned

Gate before the pilot≤1%

Assessment sample: 8%Re-sample once both gaps close

Four conditions, agreed before any spend

Proposed acceptance conditions for the Hollis pilot. They are thresholds to meet, not results.

Today: repair in progress

GatePhase

  1. 01 · Gate

    ≤1%

    Sampled identifier issue rate before the pilot starts

    Now 8%, not met

  2. 02 · Pilot

    6 weeks

    Weekly demand forecasting, started only once the gate is met

    Not started

  3. 03 · Evaluation

    20%to≤16%

    Weighted forecast error, baseline against target, on the same held-out weekly demand dataset

    Baseline agreed

  4. 04 · Decision

    Go or stop

    The operations owner reviews the evidence and decides whether to proceed

    Marta Lindqvist decides

Portrait of Marta Lindqvist, Head of Operations at Hollis Supply

We agreed what the pilot has to beat before we spent anything on it. That made the go or stop call mine, and simple.

Marta LindqvistHead of Operations, Hollis Supply Signs off the evaluation scope

Start with a two-week assessment

€6,000, fixed before it starts. A readiness report, a feed ownership register and a repair plan your owner can act on.